Weather and Climate Models
CFAN scientists are actively conducting research on evaluating and improving weather and climate models:
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Evaluating the predictability and prediction skill of seasonal forecast models, decadal climate model projections, and regional climate models
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Advancing the interpretation of ensemble forecasts
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Development of parameterizations to improve regional and global climate models
SELECTED RECENT PUBLICATIONS
Kim, HM, D Kim, F Vitart, V Toma, J Kug, PJ Webster, 2016: MJO propagation across the Maritime Continent in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system, Journal of Climate (link)
Kim, HM, PJ Webster, VE Toma, et al., 2014: Predictability and prediction skill of the MJO in two operational forecasting systems. Journal of Climate (link)
Kim, HM, PJ Webster, JA Curry, 2012: Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part I: Northern Hemisphere Winter. Climate
Dynamics (pdf)
Kim, HM, PJ Webster, JA Curry, 2012: Seasonal prediction skill of ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective forecast Part I: Asian monsoon. Climate Dynamics (pdf)
Kim, HM, PJ Webster, JA Curry 2012: Multi-model decadal predictions in CMIP5 decadal hindcast experiment. Geophysical Research Letters (pdf)
Agudelo, PA, CD Hoyos, PJ Webster and JA Curry, 2008: Prediction skill of intraseasonal variability of an operational model in a serial extended forecast experiment. Climate Dynamics. (pdf)
Kim, HM., CD Hoyos, PJ Webster and IS Kang, 2008: Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. Journal of Climate (pdf)
Wyser, K., Jones, CG, Curry JA et al., 2008: An evaluation of Arctic cloud and radiation processes during the SHEBA year: simulation results from eight Arctic regional climate models. Climate Dynamics. (pdf)
Morrison, H, JO Pinto, JA Curry, GM.McFarquhar, 2008: Sensitivity of mixed-phase stratocumulus to cloud condensation and ice nuclei in a mesoscale model with two-moment bulk cloud microphysics. Journal of Geophysical Research (pdf)
Rinke, A, K Dethloff, J Cassano, JA Curry, et al., 2006: Evaluation of an Ensemble of Arctic Regional Climate Models. Climate Dynamics. (pdf)
Inoue, J, J Liu and JA Curry, 2006: Intercomparison of Arctic regional climate models: Modeling clouds and radiation for SHEBA in May 1998. Journal of Climate. (pdf)