Apr 5, 20191 minCFAN predicts an active Atlantic hurricane seasonCFAN predicts an ACE of 125, 7 hurricanes, and 2 U.S. landfalling hurricanes. [link]
Nov 28, 20182 minCFAN Special Report on Sea Level Rise & Climate ChangeThis Report assesses the scientific basis for projections of future sea level rise. The following four issues frame this Report: Whether...
Sep 28, 20181 minTrack forecast verification analysis for Hurricane FlorenceTrack forecast verification shows CFAN's forecast performed best beyond 3 days, with a 7 day track error of 130 miles. [link to report]
Sep 20, 20181 minAdvances in operational subseasonal prediction of heat and cold wavesDescription and evaluation of CFAN's heat/cold wave forecasts for U.S. cities. CFAN presentation at the Seasonal to Decadal Conference...
Sep 20, 20181 minENSO: Towards breaching the springtime predictability barrierAssessment of ENSO forecast skill from seasonal climate models. Identification of new predictors with longer lead time. CFAN...
Sep 20, 20181 minVerification of CFAN's U.S. seasonal temperature forecastsVerification analysis of CFAN's new statistical forecast method for U.S. seasonal temperature forecasts at 3-4 month lead times, for...
Sep 20, 20181 minVerification statistics for CFAN's tropical cyclone landfall wind fieldsWind speed verification analyses are provided for 2-D wind fields (5 mi resolution) for periods 12-72 hours before landfall, for Florida...
Sep 19, 20181 minHurricane Florence: climate dynamics contextCFAN's President Judith Curry provides a comprehensive analysis of the weather and climate dynamics of Hurricane Florence, including...
Sep 17, 20181 minPredictability of phase shifts of the Atlantic Multidecadal OscillationA shift from the current warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) would have substantial impacts for U.S. and European...
Aug 26, 20181 minNew article on Climate Uncertainty and RiskCFAN's President Ju dith Curry has published a new article on climate uncertainty and risk. The article integrates perspectives from...
Aug 22, 20181 minVerification of CFAN's new subseasonal forecast product for U.S. city temperaturesCFAN's new subseasonal forecast product is now operational. This includes twice weekly daily forecasts of Tmax, Tmin out to 35 days....
Jun 9, 20181 minBeyond ENSO: new signals of seasonal climate predictabilityCFAN's President Judith Curry gave an invited presentation at the Weather Risk Management Association (WRMA) annual meeting in Miami. ...
Jun 5, 20181 minCFAN continues to predict below average 2018 Atlantic hurricane seasonClimate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) predicts a below average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season: 4 hurricanes, 1 to 2 major...
Apr 11, 20182 minCFAN takes the lead in the race to provide better forecasts of hurricane paths(Reno, NV, 11 April 2018) Public and private sector scientists are racing to provide hurricane forecasts that provide better warnings. In...
Apr 6, 20182 minClimate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) predicts a below average Atlantic hurricane season(Reno, NV) Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) predicts a below average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Their staff predicts a...
Mar 19, 20181 minJudith Curry Named to Top 50 Women in STEMThe Best Schools has named CFAN President Judith Curry to The Top 50 Women in STEM. [link] STEM is an acronym for science, technology,...
Mar 19, 20181 minPeter Webster Symposium at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological SocietyOn 9 January 2018, at the 2018 Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society in Austin TX, a Symposium [link] honored Dr. Peter...
Dec 19, 20172 minClimate Forecast Applications Network predicts above normal 2018 Atlantic hurricane season(Reno NV, 19 December 2017) Scientists at Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) have identified a breakthrough in understanding of...
Nov 30, 20172 minCauses and Predictability of the Exceptionally Active 2017 Atlantic Hurricane SeasonThe 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season was unusually active, reaching twice the climatological levels of Accumulated Cyclone Energy...
Nov 2, 20173 minCFAN’s President on hurricanes and climate changeHurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria have reignited the public debate on hurricanes and global warming. But was there anything unusual...