Climate Forecast Applications Network

CFAN predicts an ACE of 125, 7 hurricanes, and 2 U.S. landfalling hurricanes. [link]

This Report assesses the scientific basis for projections of future sea level rise. The following four issues frame this Report: Whether recent global sea le...

Track forecast verification shows CFAN's forecast performed best beyond 3 days, with a 7 day track error of 130 miles. [link to report]

Description and evaluation of CFAN's heat/cold wave forecasts for U.S. cities. CFAN presentation at the Seasonal to Decadal Conference hosted by the World Cl...

Assessment of ENSO forecast skill from seasonal climate models. Identification of new predictors with longer lead time. CFAN presentation at the Seasonal t...

Verification analysis of CFAN's new statistical forecast method for U.S. seasonal temperature forecasts at 3-4 month lead times, for Q1/Q2 2018. [link to rep...

Wind speed verification analyses are provided for 2-D wind fields (5 mi resolution) for periods 12-72 hours before landfall, for Florida landfalls of Hurrica...

CFAN's President Judith Curry provides a comprehensive analysis of the weather and climate dynamics of Hurricane Florence, including strategies for assessing...

A shift from the current warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) would have substantial impacts for U.S. and European weather, and particul...

CFAN's President Ju dith Curry has published a new article on climate uncertainty and risk. The article integrates perspectives from climate modeling, philo...

CFAN's new subseasonal forecast product is now operational. This includes twice weekly daily forecasts of Tmax, Tmin out to 35 days. [link to report]

CFAN's President Judith Curry gave an invited presentation at the Weather Risk Management Association (WRMA) annual meeting in Miami. The talk presents a new...

Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) predicts a below average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season: 4 hurricanes, 1 to 2 major hurricanes, total ACE of 63,...

(Reno, NV, 11 April 2018) Public and private sector scientists are racing to provide hurricane forecasts that provide better warnings. In 2017, Climate Forec...

(Reno, NV) Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) predicts a below average 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. Their staff predicts a 60% chance of a norma...

The Best Schools has named CFAN President Judith Curry to The Top 50 Women in STEM. [link] STEM is an acronym for science, technology, engineering and mathem...

On 9 January 2018, at the 2018 Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society in Austin TX, a Symposium [link] honored Dr. Peter J. Webster for his s...

(Reno NV, 19 December 2017) Scientists at Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) have identified a breakthrough in understanding of the long-range impa...

The 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season was unusually active, reaching twice the climatological levels of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and US hurricane ...

Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria have reignited the public debate on hurricanes and global warming. But was there anything unusual about these extreme weat...